Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 18.404435 21.022132 24.010547 27.703129 32.182656 37.492076 44.338677
2025-08-03 15.370914 18.737979 22.938369 28.666230 36.440178 46.881120 62.433928
2025-08-10 13.180534 16.732085 21.419029 28.239673 38.240209 52.941312 77.401731
2025-08-17 11.641743 15.242313 20.205115 27.809906 39.688948 58.546508 93.180075
2025-08-24 10.530164 14.145660 19.314574 27.594720 41.272123 64.560978 111.554967
2025-08-31 9.505955 13.032161 18.222857 26.843888 41.762796 68.738342 127.941572
2025-09-07 8.767108 12.246571 17.509309 26.553269 42.921454 74.328369 149.469284
2025-09-14 7.928516 11.225003 16.309613 25.268340 42.032448 75.687822 161.879176
2025-09-21 7.189612 10.292631 15.157394 23.910404 40.761621 75.945824 171.696939
2025-09-28 6.668633 9.659337 14.429614 23.207428 40.635071 78.633735 189.436100
2025-10-05 6.885018 10.215477 15.720610 26.339688 48.863665 102.911849 287.984002
2025-10-12 6.715519 10.121336 15.884609 27.357974 52.822251 118.230180 371.148821
2025-10-19 6.265169 9.538664 15.163079 26.594744 52.746905 123.129937 420.099625
2025-10-26 6.090360 9.413685 15.255834 27.510214 56.887579 142.020499 557.532518
2025-11-02 5.759195 8.990117 14.755835 27.105983 57.664955 150.893339 657.301752
2025-11-09 5.459129 8.599837 14.283332 26.698772 58.356767 159.880210 774.801141
2025-11-16 5.209894 8.283093 13.923587 26.494836 59.563640 171.365686 935.854361
2025-11-23 4.924814 7.883159 13.369948 25.783044 59.212134 176.927184 1064.717907
2025-11-30 4.709945 7.598646 13.021743 25.507447 60.079650 187.944500 1279.601287
2025-12-07 4.413116 7.146265 12.306991 24.288321 57.910861 185.285211 1343.672668
2025-12-14 4.129252 6.704945 11.589113 22.998815 55.337994 180.081851 1371.107383
2025-12-21 3.926509 6.406245 11.143523 22.330799 54.601518 183.149178 1525.124020
2025-12-28 4.080408 6.788733 12.123486 25.304873 66.278840 254.405753 3307.181952